Naira crashed against dollar last week on the pricing template of the International Air Transport Association (IATA) from 415 per dollar to 444 per dollar.
This development has increased the price at which travel companies sell tickets, thereby forcing Nigerian travel companies to express fear the development may further reduce the recovery of international travel from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The development came amid struggles by foreign airlines to access forex from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to repatriate ticket sale proceeds running to over $208m.
The President of the National Association of Nigeria Travel Agents (NANTA), the umbrella body for travel agencies/companies in Nigeria while speaking on the development, Susan Akporiaye said, “The exchange rate is fluctuating now. Before now, IATA had moved the exchange rate from N425/$ to N442/$. What is now happening is unfortunate and it is not good for our industry.
“I think it was necessary because there is a big disparity between the bank rate, airline rate and the black market rate. Before now, the airline rate was N415/$ while the black market rate was N580/$. Look at that disparity!”
While linking the development to foreign airlines’ inability to access forex, the NANTA president who advised the CBN to address the situation urgently said, “If foreign airlines were getting forex as and when due, there probably wouldn’t have been the need for the increase in IATA rate. These are foreign airlines; they are not Nigerian airlines. Their funds have to go back to their countries.
“A particular foreign airline says it is not repatriating up to 50 per cent of its funds; it says it is doing between 20 and 30 per cent. Some foreign airlines say if they are repatriating about 50 or 60 per cent of their ticket sale proceeds, they will be fine.
“The increase in the exchange rate will affect travel demand because people will not want to go above their budget. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, people have learnt to cut their budgets. Demand for travel will reduce. The forex scarcity is another pandemic that we cannot afford to have. Government should seriously look into the issue of repatriation of funds for foreign airlines.”
A leading economic analyst and Chief Executive Officer, Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Mr. Bismarck Rewane, also said the backlog of funds running to $208m was due to the aftermath of the peak season travel in summer.
Rewane who attributed the development to low oil price and production by Nigeria, expressed the hope that the CBN would sell forex to carriers to repatriate their funds soon.
He said, “It is possible that the robust provisions of the external reserves at this time will help, going forward. What we are seeing now is a potential improvement, now that the reserves are over $42bn.
“It is not only airlines [that are] going through this. There are foreign portfolio investors, manufacturers buying equipment and others; so there is a whole array of demand for forex, and the duty of the CBN is to make sure that all these demands are met.
“The CBN is currently working on some modalities that will make the naira appreciate when there are more dollars and depreciate when there are fewer dollars available.”
On why IATA rate increased to 444/$, he said, “What is responsible is when the level of blocked funds reduce, IATA uses the average rate which has applied for their ticket remittances. A fixed exchange rate is the biggest problem here. Once it is fixed, you will not get the supply when you want it. I foresee a situation where if the exchange rate is flexible, the supply is available at every point.”
Rewane observed that some foreign carriers had stopped selling cheaper classes of tickets due to their inability to access forex from the CBN.
He said, “Once there is the availability of supply, the airlines will open all ticket classes. Right now, only the executive classes are available. So now, the Nigerian traveler is being hindered by the exchange rate on one hand and discounted tickets not being available on the other hand.
“Once the supply situation is fixed, you will find out that the discounted fares are returned. Right now, only those buying in foreign currency have access to discounted fares. Once you have a certain level of blocked funds, IATA can say that your tickets are not endorsable in the international market. But I don’t see us getting to that point.”